All eyes on Trump and Netanyahu

On Monday, all eyes will be on President Trump and Prime Minister Netanyahu as the later comes to Washington for what will be their third meeting this year. This makes Netanyahu the world leader who has most visited Trump in the White House since the start of 2025. Conspiracy theorists and anti-Israel propagandists will tell tales of the Netanyahu (Israel) tail wagging the Trump (US) dog, and worse. Their venom will stream as they scream of schemes, uniquely bringing radical leftists and radical rightists into an unholy alliance. Their biased agenda to bash Israel at every opportunity aside, nobody truly knows what’s going to happen in front of the camera, much less behind the scenes. 

There are many things that are intuitive, many guessed about, and perhaps some leaked. However, as far as the agenda items, it’s anyone’s guess about what that and the outcome will be. Here are some things to look for. 

Both leaders will take and share credit publicly, praising one another for the recent achievements in eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat, literally if not figuratively spiking the ball in the end zone. Will there be public declarations of deterring Iran and other bad actors, announcements of additional support for Israel to heighten its preparedness? Privately, it’s reasonable to imagine they will discuss intelligence assessments of actual accomplishments, additional threats, and the need for regime change in Iran to actually bring peace, not just for Israel and the US, but also for the Iranian people, albeit while not publicly stating this. If the Iranian nuclear program has only been set back by two years, what’s Plan B?

As for the highly enriched uranium that created the urgency for the recent attack, enough to produce as much as ten nuclear weapons, the question is what happened to it. If it was in Fordow, one would think that radioactive fallout would be an issue. Could it have been smuggled out of Iran to North Korea, China, or Russia? Could it have been moved, protected, turned into dirty bombs, to be smuggled across borders and threaten Israel, the US, and the rest of the world?

There are indications that high on Trump’s agenda will at least be a push to end the war in Gaza, maybe even some declaration about how that is happening, with Netanyahu smiling at the president’s side. Will such remarks be coordinated or a surprise?  Ending the war meaningfully however requires more than Israel’s withdrawal of its troops.  It requires the complete eradication of Hamas in Gaza, and the release of the remaining 50 hostages. Talk of a 60-day ceasefire in exchange for a handful of hostages will embolden Hamas and not achieve either of these goals. It will not bring peace. 

Reports that Israel has accepted such a framework and Hamas has rejected it are not surprising or new. Netanyahu will surely remind Trump that Hamas’ terrorist infrastructure can be defeated, but its ideology (and influence elsewhere) remain alive and “well.” What’s needed is a true solution for peace in Gaza. 

In this context, there will likely be declarations about a Gazan future free of Hamas, but will there be any other long term realistic plan proposed? Will Hamas get the memo? Does it care? What about that Trump had previously promised that “all hell will break loose,” a promise yet unfulfilled? Will Israel do something unilaterally per Trump’s desire to have a deal, even if it is a one-sided equation? 

After celebrating the recent joint success in eliminating Iran’s nuclear threat, it’s hard to imagine Trump doing a 180-degree pivot, strong-arming Netanyahu (particularly as a surprise) to agree to an end of the war in Gaza without achieving the war’s goals. But it’s also hard to imagine Netanyahu not bowing to a degree of pressure by Trump, in order to maintain the relationship.  Surely Netanyahu is not coming to Washington for a public dressing down as happened with Ukrainian President Zelenskyy. 

Would peacemaker Trump, seeking and believing that even the most intractable issues and genocidal of jihadis can be dealt with through a deal, place himself as guarantor for Hamas not having control in a restructured Gaza? How could that be enforced? Would that mean US control, even boots on the ground, as he hinted in previous statements?  Might additional brazen comments be made, even if less than practical, to cajole the Arab world into a broader deal as well?  

It could be risky for Trump because Hamas is not looking for a deal, but to survive another day, to achieve its goal of annihilating Israel. Terrorism is their means, and the hostages are their currency. That won’t change. Yet such an offer, if it could even happen, could take pressure off Netanyahu at home, claiming success for bringing (some) hostages home, and buffer challenges to his premiership from within his own coalition on one hand, and from the public on the other that he has not done enough to secure the hostages’ release and end the war on the other. 

A Trump cherry on top could be suggesting if not outright stating some form of support for Israeli annexation of Judea and Samaria, the “West Bank,” giving the Palestinian Authority 60 days as he did with Iran, to make a deal.  Reports are that members of Netanyahu’s own Likud party have signed a public statement advocating for such, before the end of this month.  Is it coordinated? 

This takes place in the context of Netanyahu’s popularity at home receiving a bump due to the Iran war, but still polls showing unable to win a governing majority if elections were today. He remains on trial for serious crimes, still having yet to take responsibility for the failures that led up to the October 7 Hamas attack and massacre, parliamentary challenges within his coalition and the opposition and, at best, elections in the fall of 2026, if not sooner. He will want to paint himself as a hero. Trump may become his biggest public cheerleader. 

Speculations or an announcement of other countries joining the Abraham Accords would be a coup, pun intended. Rumors are flying about Syria and Lebanon being next. Of course this is an exciting possibility, but with a recent assassination attempt on the current Syrian president, a former leader of Al-Qaeda and Hayat Tahrir Al-Sham (HTS) by ISIS, and Lebanon broken and still under the heels of Hezbollah, it’s hard to imagine a stable peace. Even “normalization” sounds like a longshot. 

Perhaps to break the ice, Trump will announce an international conference, “Abraham’s Tent” bringing together regional leaders who are still officially at war with Israel. But this time, such a conference would include Israel, maybe even in Jerusalem, hosted by President Trump himself. 

On a lighter note, some wonder if there will be an announcement of the “Trump Dimona Golf Course and Casino,” strategically located next to Israel’s nuclear reactor, making any possible attack on Dimona an attack on Trump. Maybe Mrs. Netanyahu will come to seek fashion advice, if not a needed makeover, from First Lady Melania Trump. 

All of this could be Act II of the remarkable campaign of disinformation, masterfully choreographed between Trump and Netanyahu, setting up something even bigger. 

Buckle up. Whatever will be, it won’t be boring. 

The Genesis 123 Foundation will be hosting a webinar to analyze the outcome and look at next steps, Tuesday July 8 at 9:00pm Israel time, 2:00pm Eastern (US). Please register here.